En 2003, cuando el petróleo se cotizaba a unos 30 dólares el barril , Andrew Hall, que en ese momento trabajaba para la división de comercio de energía de Citigroup, Phibro, apostaba a que el petróleo alcanzaría los 100 dólares en cinco años . Así que compró un montón de ‘futuros de petróleo a largo plazo’ que solo pagarían si su corazonada era correcta. Y dado que su predicción parecía tan descabellada en ese momento, los consiguió baratos.

Fue una apuesta arriesgada. Si el precio del petróleo no hubiera superado los $ 100 en 2008 (lo que sucedió), Hall estaría fuera de combate. Pero su corazonada se cumplió, y la división Phibro ganó más dinero del que hubiera tenido si hubieran invertido directamente en ETF de petróleo.

Se suponía que Citi pagaría a Hall $ 100 millones por el intercambio , pero no querían darle el monto total. Todo esto provocó tanta controversia que Citi terminó vendiendo Phibro.

Fuente: https://www.businessinsider.com/greatest-trades-in-wall-street-history-2013-2?r=MX&IR=T#andrew-hall-went-really-really-long-on-oil-and-made-enough-to-warrant-a-100-million-bonus-10
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